CGT at the Crossroads: New Opportunities or Darkest Hour?

2026-03-05 08:15

Reads:


Why Can’t CGT Therapies With Impressive Clinical Data Secure Approval?

 

 

On March 2, uniQure announced it had received the final meeting minutes from the FDA discussing AMT-130, its gene therapy for Huntington’s disease. The FDA made it clear that it could not agree that the Phase I/II data for AMT-130 were sufficient to support a marketing application, and strongly recommended conducting a prospective, randomized, double-blind, sham-controlled study.

 

The news sent shockwaves through the industry. Even more intriguing was the clash of reactions that followed.

 

In a carefully worded statement, Matt Kapusta, CEO of uniQure, said:“While we have not yet aligned on a path forward for filing based on the Phase I/II data, the integrity and durability of the existing data suggest we are fully justified in continuing substantive discussions with the FDA about how its stated commitment to regulatory flexibility should appropriately apply in this area.”

 

Although uniQure will continue advancing clinical development and regulatory submission for AMT-130, its prospects have been clouded by the FDA’s stance.

 

In a recent public speech, FDA Commissioner Martin Makary criticized, without naming names, a therapy that requires “drilling holes in the skull,” claiming it had failed to demonstrate efficacy yet faced pressure for approval. The market widely interpreted this as a direct reference to AMT-130, making the therapy’s ultimate fate even more uncertain.

 

Meanwhile, a petition launched by Huntington’s disease patients and their families on Change.org has collected more than 40,000 valid signatures, urging the FDA to approve AMT-130.

 

This is not an isolated incident. Since the second half of 2025, the FDA has repeatedly rejected multiple gene therapies. Regulatory scrutiny appears to be tightening, yet no one can clearly define where the new boundaries lie.

 

On one side are the urgent calls from patients; on the other, the strict caution of regulators.Is the FDA truly safeguarding scientific rigor, as it officially claims, or has it become erratic amid political shifts and internal leadership changes?

 

 
 

 

 

TONACEA

01

Why Is 75% Slowdown in Disease Progression Still Not Enough?

 

 

 

The data for AMT-130 are indeed impressive.

 

Huntington’s disease is an autosomal dominant neurodegenerative disorder characterized by chorea, unsteady gait, and significant cognitive and psychiatric symptoms (including depression and anxiety). Patients gradually lose independence and typically die 10 to 20 years after onset.

 

In the U.S., an estimated 4.1–5.2 individuals per 100,000 are affected. There are currently no curative treatments, only symptomatic management.

 

AMT-130 is delivered via an adeno-associated virus (AAV), a non-pathogenic viral vector. The therapy is administered through specialized neurosurgery, injected directly into the striatum—one of the brain regions most vulnerable to Huntington’s disease.

 

In September 2025, uniQure released clinical data showing that 12 patients treated with a high dose of AMT-130 experienced a 75% slowdown in disease progression and a 60% reduction in functional decline over three years of follow-up. Critically, levels of neurofilament light chain (NfL) in cerebrospinal fluid decreased by an average of 8.2%, suggesting potential inhibition of neurodegeneration.

 

Hailed as a “game-changing” breakthrough by Huntington’s disease specialists, the results sent uniQure’s stock soaring 248% in a single day. The company had previously announced alignment with the FDA on a potential accelerated approval pathway.

 

However, in a pre-BLA meeting in November 2025, the FDA’s position unexpectedly shifted.

 

The FDA’s core objection centered on the use of external controls in the Phase I/II study, which are prone to bias and deemed inadequate as primary efficacy evidence for approval.

In its feedback, the FDA stated that the Phase I/II study failed to show a treatment effect relative to a placebo group after 12 months.Walid Abi-Saab, uniQure’s CMO, explained to investors on a conference call that for early Huntington’s disease patients, one year is “generally insufficient to reliably detect meaningful disease progression,” making it “nearly impossible” for a disease-modifying drug to show efficacy within that window.

 

This controversy reflects a disconnect between the FDA’s regulatory logic and clinical reality, especially in rare diseases.

 

Oncology accepts single-arm and external control studies because disease trajectories are relatively well-defined, rapid, and linear, with surrogate endpoints (e.g., tumor shrinkage) thoroughly validated against clinical benefit (e.g., survival).

 

Huntington’s disease is the opposite: a complex, heterogeneous neurodegenerative disorder whose natural history is influenced by genotype and other unknown factors. External controls struggle to account for such variability, and even randomized trials require extremely long follow-up to detect differences.

 

Abi-Saab also noted that a multi-year placebo-controlled study “could pose significant risks and burdens to patients” and raise ethical concerns—not least because some participants would undergo sham surgery without receiving treatment.

 

Leerink analyst Joseph Schwartz highlighted the contradiction: the FDA expresses worry over complications from craniotomy, yet insists on a sham-surgery control group.

 

In any case, the FDA’s position is clear, and near-term approval of AMT-130 is off the table. uniQure must adjust its strategy. The company plans to continue discussions with the FDA on a Phase III trial and intends to request a Type B meeting in Q2 2026 to further explore potential study designs.

 

But all this takes time.And for Huntington’s patients, time is the most precious resource of all.

 

 

 

 

TONACEA

02

CGT Faces a Rejection Storm

 

 

 

Taking a broader view, AMT-130 is far from an isolated case.

 

In February 2026, the FDA rejected Regenxbio’s gene therapy RGX-121 for Hunter syndrome (MPS II). In the complete response letter (CRL), the FDA’s key concerns included an ill-defined patient population, reliance on natural history controls, and the use of biomarkers as surrogate endpoints.

 

RGX-121’s trial enrolled 13 patients with severe neurological involvement. Regenxbio classified patients using either genetic analysis or cognitive scores on the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development. The FDA found both approaches flawed: the same genetic mutation can lead to variable clinical presentations, and the cognitive threshold lacked consensus.

 

“Although we agreed to the protocol in principle, we expressed concerns throughout your development program,” the FDA wrote in the CRL.

 

Another point of contention was biomarkers. Regenxbio sought to use heparan sulfate as a biomarker to substitute for clinical efficacy, but the FDA did not accept it. This has raised alarm among other companies using similar markers.

 

For example:

 

  • Denali Therapeutics’ tividenofusp, an enzyme replacement therapy for Hunter syndrome, was expected to be approved in October 2025 but was delayed, with a decision now expected next month.
  • Ultragenyx’s rare disease gene therapy UX111 for Sanfilippo syndrome Type A was rejected by the FDA in July 2025 over CMC issues and has since been resubmitted.

 

In January of this year, the FDA rejected Atara’s cell therapy Ebvallo for the second time, citing “insufficient evidence of efficacy.”

 

Ebvallo, which treats EBV-positive post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorder, was approved in the EU in 2022. Its first U.S. submission in 2025 was rejected over CMC issues. After Atara transferred rights to Pierre Fabre and resubmitted, the therapy was again denied.

 

STAT reported that a former FDA employee revealed that, in late 2024, reviewers considered Ebvallo’s data sufficient, with the only issue being manufacturing facilities. The shift to “insufficient evidence of efficacy” was attributed to changes in FDA leadership.

 

Last July, the FDA rejected Capricor Therapeutics’ cell therapy deramiocel for DMD-related cardiomyopathy due to a lack of supporting data. Capricor’s CEO expressed “surprise” at the CRL, noting that prior to rejection, “the review was proceeding smoothly with no major issues identified.”

 

Behind this string of rejections lies ongoing turmoil within the FDA.

 

Since Marty Makary became FDA Commissioner, he has pushed for accelerated review and regulatory simplification, alongside rapid turnover in key departments. Over the past year, CDER has had five acting directors, including Richard Pazdur, who served just over one month.

 

Meanwhile, Peter Marks, the long-time head of CBER and a key champion of cell and gene therapy approvals, left in 2025. His successor, Vinay Prasad, has been skeptical of the flexibility and leniency in some earlier CGT approvals, raising industry concerns about the sector’s outlook.

 

 

 

 

TONACEA

03

Where Are the New Boundaries?

 

 

 

Fears about the CGT sector’s outlook have proven justified. Over the past year, the FDA’s regulation of CGT has been in flux.

 

In September 2025, the FDA issued two draft guidelines related to CGTs, including Innovative Clinical Trial Designs for Cell and Gene Therapy Products for Small Populations. This document, targeting CGTs for small patient populations (typically rare diseases), systematically outlines six innovative trial designs:single-arm trials, disease progression modeling, external control studies, adaptive designs, Bayesian designs, and master protocols.

 

The FDA also explored methods for collecting post-marketing data for CGT products. Given that many CGTs are approved based on limited clinical data, the guideline clarified post-approval data collection to confirm long-term safety and efficacy.

 

Specific approaches include:

 

  • using real-world evidence;
  • leveraging electronic health records and insurance claims to track long-term outcomes;
  • establishing patient registries to monitor durability and malignancy risk;
  • decentralized data collection beyond traditional trial sites.

 

The core logic: limited pre-approval evidence can be balanced by robust post-approval data.

 

In January this year, the FDA formally announced flexible regulatory approaches for CMC requirements of CGT products.

 

  • During clinical development, full compliance with cGMP is not required before Phase II/III; process validation and analytical methods can be refined iteratively.
  • For commercial release criteria, given the small patient populations for CGTs, traditional standards based on large numbers of production batches are impractical. The FDA will exercise discretion in reviewing release specifications in BLAs, and companies may request revisions post-approval if stability is demonstrated.
  • For process validation, the FDA explicitly stated it “does not require three PPQ batches,” and will judge batch adequacy based on the sponsor’s overall process understanding.

 

Marty Makary stated: “Regulatory policies must be tailored for highly complex and personalized CGT products.”

 

On paper, the FDA is indeed loosening constraints and providing greater flexibility for CGTs.In practice, however, enforcement is tightening.

 

According to the Pink Sheet database, in early 2026, at least 56 new molecular entities (NMEs) and novel biologics were under FDA review, compared to over 60 in each year from 2023 to 2025. CBER had only 8 novel therapeutic biologics in review—nearly halved from at least 14 in early 2025—while CDER’s pipeline remained largely stable.

 

The fate of AMT-130, together with the recent wave of rejections, likely marks the end of CGT’s “wild growth” era. The FDA’s new policies have opened space for flexible regulation, but this does not mean lower standards. If anything, requirements for clinical evidence are becoming stricter.

 

For investigational CGT therapies, the current dilemma is clear: policy incentives appear attractive, yet the new regulatory boundaries remain undefined.The priority going forward is to re‑evaluate clinical strategies and identify the FDA’s true bottom line within the new policy framework.

 

This round of regulatory reshaping has only just begun.

 

参考文章:
uniQure公告

 

UniQure shares crash 40% as FDA rejects early approval path for Huntington's gene therapy;Fierce Pharma

 

FDA details rationale for rejecting rare disease gene therapy from Regenxbio;Fierce Pharma

Atara Climbs Amid Report of FDA Inconsistency Leading to Cell Therapy’s Rejection;BioSpace

 

2026年 FDA 待批新药中的非标准审评重点品种;识林

 

基因疗法的“加速”迷途;同写意

 

FDA监管可以灵活到什么程度?;同写意

 

Related News

Contact us

Address:Room 62, 6th Floor, Building 1, Zone 1, No.186 South 4th Ring West Road , Fengtai District, Beijing

Tel:010-83634390

Address:Address:Room 1704, Building E, Nanotechnology Park, SIP, Suzhou, Jiangsu Province

TONACEA

TONACEA

XIEYI Release

TONACEA

TONACEA Biotech

TONACEA

TONACEA Micro Service

TONACEA

©2022 TONACEA(beijing)Technology Development Co., Ltd

xueqiu.com zhihu.com MicroBlog